The perception of China’s further unstoppable economic and military rise and a relative decline in US power may be based on questionable assumptions and projections. In the United States, China’s rise is widely seen as a threat to America’s preeminent international position. This could trigger de-globalization and the emergence of two orders, one under the predominant influence of the United States and the other under China’s influence. ■ The risk for international politics is that the intensifying strategic rivalry between the two states condenses into a structural world conflict. It is about dominance in the digital age.
■ Global competition for influence is closely interwoven with the technological dimension of American-Chinese rivalry. ■ The strategic rivalry is particularly pronounced on China’s maritime periphery, dominated by military threat perceptions and the US expectation that China intends to establish an exclusive sphere of influence in East Asia. ■ Since the United States and China perceive each other as potential mili tary adversaries and plan their operations accordingly, the security dilemma also shapes their relationship. ■ This competition for influence has become combined with an ideological antagonism that has recently become more focused on the US side. It is based on a regional status competition, which is increasingly becoming global. ■ The Sino-American conflict syndrome contains several elements.
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